June 3, 2009

General Motors: The Failure of Government Policy

While the management of General Motors over the past quarter century or more doesn't deserve any awards for stellar performance, I do view the GM bankruptcy filing as just as much, if not more, a failure of patchwork, inconsistent and irreconcilable Government policies during that time span. From the second highest corporate tax rate in the world to the lack of a unified health care system, the Government has time and time again interfered with the ability of GM to remain competitive. While the Government has continually imposed standards on the auto industry to improve mileage and reduce pollution, however well-intended, these policies have never been well thought out. As a consequence, GM, in order to cover its ever-expanding financial and regulatory obligations, was left with little choice but to manufacture a greater proportion of larger vehicles with higher profit-margins to help pay the cost thereof than otherwise would have been necessary with a more enlightened Governmental approach. Stated differently, Government policy caused GM to concentrate its manufacturing operations on a narrow focus of the automobile market as opposed to developing a more complete and well-rounded portfolio of products.

Over the years, the Government has also thwarted efforts to drill for oil offshore or in Alaska due to exaggerated environmental concerns. The result: America became more and more reliant on foreign oil. Meanwhile, the rest of the world continued to exploit their oil resources wherever located, onshore or offshore. So, in effect, this country unilaterally withdrew from the oil exploration business in the most promising areas for development.

What would have happened if the United States had promoted its own oil industry until the transition to alternative energy was possible? One benefit would have been a significant reduction of billions of dollars paid to Saudi Arabia and other OPEC members and a corresponding salutary effect on the U.S. dollar as balance-of-trade deficits would have been significantly lower. Perhaps the original Gulf War, principally fought to preserve the flow of reasonably-priced oil from the Middle East, would not have occurred or at least in a more more limited form. Instead of striving to become energy independent from OPEC and to build up our own oil output through proven reserves, we chose to defend oil fields far away with American lives because environmentalists preferred pristine coastlines to economic independence. The environmentalists bear culpability for relegating our nation's overall national security to their provincial interests.

Of course, we would all prefer as little environmental impact as possible while achieving energy independence, but difficult choices sometimes have to be made. We have now seen what happens when this country is beholden to foreign interests for our energy consumption. We have turned the MIddle East into a bastion of radical Islam by the very fact that we and other Western democracies have funded the oil producers instead of controlling our destiny without them. The billions of dollars dispatched to the Middle East, instead of being used by the OPEC countries to advance their societies economically, educationally and politically, have been used as hush money to covertly fund terrorist groups intent on destroying America to preserve the concentration of power and wealth in despotic regimes. More recently, the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq over the past eight years likely would have been quite different as well. Had we developed our energy resources properly, our involvement in the Middle East would have been significantly lessened and Islamic terrorism and hatred against the U.S. would have had fewer seeds upon which to grow.

In addition to failing to develop our own natural resources, the Government has failed to develop a coherent policy to deal with social security and medicare. Every year, employers face increasing costs as these programs are headed for certain bankruptcy. The demographics simply do not support a system where in the not to distant future only two workers will be effectively supporting one retiree. In the initial stages of social security the ratio was 16:1. That ratio, by definition, had to decline unless U.S. population growth surged beyond any reasonable prognostication of birth rates. Moreover, increases in life expectancy continues to put a further economic strain on funding. But, the failure to adequately address this time bomb even now has certainly imposed great economic strains on businesses, particularly those which manufacture goods and are more subject to international competitive pressures.

I am not advocating a reduction of current retiree benefits, but I am advocating that the system has to be redesigned to maintain its solvency. Already, the retirement age is slowing increasing, but that should have been done years ago. The social security tax is like a quasi-flat tax with one glaring deficiency -- it is only assessed against a portion of an employee's personal service income. There is no reason for this. If social security taxes had been assessed against the entire portion of an earner's income from inception or gradually increased to that level over time, the system would be significantly more financially secure today. It is frankly outrageous that people earning hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of dollars are paying the exact maximum social security taxes of people earning a fraction of their incomes. Moreover, proportionally shifting the social security and medicare tax burden to the people who earn the most is not only logical but fair (to the extent one believes a flat tax is fair). Such a policy could also be structured to cap an employer's contribution per employee regardless of income level.

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